This weekend's rain brought delight to skiers and snowboarders. What fell as droplets in the Bay Area metamorphosed into snow flakes in the Sierra Nevada and its foothills. The snow brought smiles to more faces than just the outdoor enthusiasts'. Officials of the various agencies supplying drinking water to the Bay Area rejoiced in the renewal of the snow pack - and thus also of our water supply. Because most of us drink, shower and cook with melted snow.
Earthquakes pose a major risk to that water supply. The pipelines and tunnels carrying clean snow melt from the Sierras to our houses cross major faults in the East Bay. Even a moderate quake on one of those faults can wreak havoc with these lifelines - and experts predict that your faucets may remain dry for weeks after a really big quake. All the local water agencies are therefore engaged in major seismic upgrades of their infrastructure, be it pipelines, tunnels, or water treatment plants. We all bear the costs for these upgrades through surcharges on our water bills, like the $1.18 per month that is added to the blogger's bill.
Take the example of the East Bay Municipal Utilities District (EBMUD), which supplies water to 1.2 million customers in Alameda and Contra Costa Counties. It spent more than 35 million of its surcharge dollars to upgrade the Claremont Tunnel through the Berkeley Hills. Built in 1929, this 3.4 mi long, 9 ft wide tunnel connects the treatment plant in Orinda with EBMUD's pipe network west of the hills. At peak demand, it can carry 175 million gallons of water per day. The tunnel itself is a sturdy piece of engineering. It would continue to serve well, if it were not for the Hayward fault, which it crosses at an almost right angle 850 ft from its western portal. During the 79 years of the tunnel's existence, the creeping of the fault has caused 13 inches of offset of the reinforced tunnel lining (see red arrows in figure).
However creepy this movement may make the engineers feel, they are even more worried about a major earthquake along this section of the Hayward Fault. The reason: There is a one in three chance that the fault will break in a quake of magnitude 6.7 or greater during the next 30 years (see blog October 10, 2008). In 1994, experts estimated that a quake-caused disruption of the water supply through the Claremont Tunnel would result in economic losses of about $1.9 billion. Read more about how EBMUD made the tunnel safer in the next blog. (hra023)
|Evidence of fault creep in EBMUD's Claremont Water Tunnel. (Picture courtesy of D. Lee, EBMUD.)|
|Highway 14 roadcut in Southern California exposes rocks squeezed by the San Andreas Fault at the roadcut's southern end (Photo: Horst Rademacher)|
|The San Andreas Fault at Tejon Pass (Photo: Horst Rademacher)|
Thousands of people drive by every day; millions have passed through without even noticing. There are only very few places in California where the San Andreas Fault, our most famous earthquake line, can be spotted at the Earth's surface. In two of these locations, the fault crosses a major freeway. Both places are in Southern California. The most famous of the two lies just south of Palmdale in the northeastern part of Los Angeles County. Immediately north of its S-Avenue exit, Highway 14 passes through a roadcut in a small ridge. The eastern wall of the road cut is almost 90 feet high and beautifully exposes folded layers of a few million years worth of old rocks containing crystals of gypsum (see picture 1). The rocks are bent and squeezed, because they are wedged between the San Andreas Fault at the southern end of the road cut and a minor fault at the northern end.
Even more drivers pass through the second crossing every day. It lies at the high point where Interstate 5 winds through the Transverse Ranges. A road cut on the west side of the freeway just at the top of Tejon Pass exposes the fault in unsurpassed clarity. There a greyish layer gives way to brownish soil. The two layers are separated by a straight line - the San Andreas Fault itself (see picture 2).
There is some exposure of the fault along Northern California freeways as well, albeit not nearly as clearly as in the south. On the Peninsula west of San Mateo and Burlingame, Interstate 280 runs through a linear valley several miles long. This is actually the expression of the fault. Two elongated lakes, Crystal Springs Reservoir and San Andreas Lake lie in this valley - the latter lends its name to the fault, which runs for 800 miles through our state.
This blog wouldn't be complete without a safety warning: When you pass any of the fault crossings, don't be tempted to stop on the freeway. It is not only illegal, but also very dangerous due to heavy traffic. All locations are near exits and can be accessed by frontage roads. The best spot to view the fault along Interstate 280 is the vista point accessed from the northbound lane. The vista point is dominated by a statue of Father Junipero Serra. (hra022)
Many of us still dread our high school days, when the math teacher talked about logarithms. Who understood then and who can remember now the alien concept of grouping numbers not in their natural sequence, but by some funny exponent applied to an arbitrary base. Well, here is a quick refresher on the simplest logarithms, those of base 10. Look at the number 100 and ask how often you have to multiply the number 10, our base, by itself to get 100. The answer is 2 - and that is the logarithm of 100. If you look at the number 1000 and ask again how often you have to multiply our base number 10 by itself to get 1000, the answer is 3. Hence the logarithm of 1000 is 3. You therefore can use logarithms to easily deal with really big numbers, as the logarithm of one million is six and the latest bail-out figure for Wall Street, 100 billion, is reduced to a mere 11 when you determine its logarithm.
Richter scaled his earthquakes using such a logarithmic method (see blog November 18, 2008). A magnitude 3 earthquake therefore has ten times larger amplitudes than a 2; a magnitude 4 is ten times bigger than a 3 and hence one hundred times bigger than a 2. In Richter's day, the seismograph's recordings were on light sensitive paper, which was illuminated by a light beam artfully reflected from the moving mass of a Wood-Anderson seismograph, its mirror. Once the film was developed, the ground movement was represented by a dark line on that paper.
But even with a magnifying glass you were not able to see fine details of the ground movement. As a consequence, with the original Richter scale it was impossible to classify either the really big quakes (see blog December 1, 2008) or the tiniest microtemblors.
With today's electronic seismometers, however, the lower limit of the first Richter scale has been all but eliminated. These instruments are so sensitive that they can register earthquakes a hundred or even a thousand times smaller than an event of magnitude 2. But how do we label such tiny quakes? That is again where the ingenuity of a logarithmic scale comes in. An earthquake ten times smaller than a 2 would have a magnitude of 1; a hundred times smaller would be zero on the logarithmic scale. And if an event is thousand times smaller, its size would be "minus 1" on the Richter scale. And we do indeed measure such nanosized earthquakes regularly, for instance in a borehole, which penetrates the San Andreas Fault deep below Parkfield in Monterey County (see picture). (hra021)
|Recording of a magnitude minus 1 earthquake, measured inside a borehole in Parkfield, CA. (Click to view larger image.)|
We have all heard it, we've all read it: When the media talks about earthquakes, invariably someone mentions the "open ended Richter scale." Journalists think they need to differentiate Richter's scale of earthquake magnitudes from other yardsticks of the natural world, say the 12-tier Beaufort scale for wind intensity or the 5-tier Saffir-Simpson scale describing a hurricane's strength. Indeed, the Richter scale is not limited to a certain number of steps. It is a continuous logarithmic scale, but - unfortunately for the media - it is not open-ended. There just are no earthquakes, which measure 8, 9 or even higher on the Richter scale.
The media is wrong for two reasons. The first one has to do with the equipment which Richter and Gutenberg used to develop their scale. They utilized seismographs of the Wood-Anderson type 18, 2008). These instruments were developed more than 75 years ago, and they are just not made to withstand the shaking of a really strong quake. Instead they become, as seismologsts put it, non-linear. Measuring strong quakes is therefore beyond the reach of these sensors.
The other reason lies in the physics of earthquakes themselves. In a sense, earthquakes are like musical instruments, each having a characteristic frequency which depends on its size. The smallest temblors have a high pitch like a piccolo. Stronger quakes are like trombones with much lower tones. And the biggest shakers sound like the lowest keys on a tuba. During Richter's time, in the early 30's of the last century, seismographs also had their own characteristic frequency. The Wood-Anderson could not pick-up the lower sounds and therefore would have been overloaded by a really big quake. Richer knew about the shortcomings of his new yardstick and applied it strictly to earthquakes in Southern California not exceeding a moderate size.
Today's seismometers are, of course, much more sensitive than the instruments of Richter's days. They are broadband, which means that they can pick-up the sounds of a whole orchestra, small and big earthquakes alike. They are also much more sensitive that the Wood-Andersons ever were. Broadband sensors can therefore register even the tiniest earthquakes. In a future blog, we will describe how such micro- or even nano-earthquakes can be measured on the Richter scale. (hra020)
Two events coincide, according to the Merriam-Webster's dictionary, when they happen at the same time. Nowhere does it say however, whether these two events need to be related or not, or if one can be the consequence of the other. That's why we speak of a "pure coincidence" when two completely unrelated events happen simultaneously. An example could be, when my car gets a flat tire in the Caldecott Tunnel at the same time my daughter in Boston wins the lottery. Some pure coincidences can be very unlikely, say that the A's win the World Series in the same year that the Raiders clinch the Superbowl.
Pure coincidence was at play on Saturday morning when two earthquakes occured that had nothing to do with each other. Within 39 seconds, the earth was shaken by two earthquakes of the same magnitude, 6.4. The epicenters of these two quakes were both in the ocean. The first one occured at 8:01 am PST in the Indian Ocean off the coast of the Indonesian island of Sumatra. The other one happened a little bit more than half a minute later in the South Pacific east of New Caledonia near the Loyalty Islands (see map).
|Map showing locations of 2 earthquakes (red and white "beachball" figures) and station station Matsushiro (MAJO) in Japan (blue square).|
On average, about a hundred temblors with magnitudes between 6 and 6.5 occur worldwide every year (see blog September 14, 2008). If they occured regularly, that means if there were some form of physical relationship between them, we would get about two of them per week. But earthquakes here in California are in no way connected to temblors in Japan or terremotos in Chile. In contrast to many a lore, there is no long-distance force associated with one quake that could trigger another equally strong earthquake on another continent.
|Seismogram at station Matsushiro in Japan from November 22 events. Click to view larger image. Data taken from IRIS datacenter|
Saturday's two epicenters were 4836 miles apart. If such a hypothetical trigger were to exist, it would have had to traverse this distance in 39 seconds, which corresponds to a speed of roughly 450,000 mph. No tectonic force acts with such a high velocity.
The two coincidental earthquakes made for interesting seismograms, because the seismic waves of the two earthquakes were intermingled, making it difficult for seismologists to identify which phases belong to which quake. An example of the recordings of the seismic station Matsushiro in Japan is shown in the figure, labelled with the correct phases. (hra019)